SP500: Bear Market Structure, Recessions, and the Federal Reserve
The #SP500 bear market has been dragging on for over a year now (assuming the bottom is not in). The continued hawkish stance by the #Fed puts downward pressure on risk assets in general. In this video we take a…
Macroeconomics: Yield Curve, Inflation, Unemployment, Stocks, and Recessions
During a period where many of us have decided to become armchair economists (myself included), I thought it would be somewhat useful to dive into some larger trends shaping in the current macroeconomic landscape. We can see some inversions on…
Inflation Report | Effect on Risk Assets
We received another #CPI report so it is time to provide an update on the macroverse! In this video we discuss #inflation, #unemployment, #interestrates and the effect on risk assets! Into The Cryptoverse Premium SALE: https://intothecryptoverse.com Merch SALE (Use code…
Unemployment Update: Implications for the Fed
With the most recent report on unemployment, we can see that it ticked up slightly last month. However, wage inflation persists and the US economy remains strong. How will this affect the #Fed and risk assets moving forward? Let us…
The United States: Heading Into a Recession (What it Means for Stocks)
The United States is likely heading into a recession in 2023. While there are plenty of academic arguments that we already went into a recession in 2022 based on two consecutive quarters of negative GDP, there is also the counterpoint…
Inflation Coming In Hot
Core #inflation has now put in a new high, leading market participants to immediately begin pricing in more 75 bps rate hikes as we head into the end of the year. Of course, risk assets do not like this news…
Job Openings Fall | What it Means for Stocks
The job market is finally starting to soften up with the most recent report from the US Department of Labor. As job openings go down, it makes sense to assume that unemployment will start to rise. As that happens, we…
Federal Reserve: Upcoming Rate Hikes
The probability of a 50 bps or 75 bps rate hike in November continues to be all over the place. Investors remained somewhat perplexed about just how far the #Fed will go to curb #inflation. In this video we talk…
Recessions and The Yield Curve
There is a lot to be gained by better understanding the yield curve and its effect on financial markets. As long as the #FED raises interest rates, there is a more compelling reason for investors to go from being risk-on…
Do Recessions Always Follow High Inflation?
Do recessions in the United States always follow periods of high inflation? In this video we take a look at prior periods of high inflation to understand what occurred after and its implications on the #stock market. In this video…