S&P 500: Seasonal Correction
The seasonal correction by #SPX that we discussed would likely happen in Aug/Sep has materialized. In this video we look at this correction within the context of history to better understand the movements in the bond market. We also discuss…
S&P500: Accounting for the Money Supply
The #SP500 has experienced a noticeable pullback over the last few weeks. This is a seasonal correction that we discussed many times and were prepared for by looking at historical trends. However, accounting for the money supply, or M2, can…
NASDAQ Seasonality
The historical record shows that in the last 6 pre-election years, the #NASDAQ has had a seasonal correction in the Aug-Sep timeframe. Is that happenings again? In this video, we look at this seasonality. We also compare this to #Bitcoin…
Labor Market Conditions Index
The Kansas City Fed Labor Market Conditions Indicators (LMCI) are two indicators created to measure the current state and momentum of labor market conditions. The first indicator, referred to as the level indicator, measures the level of activity in labor…
SP500: Bear Market Structure, Recessions, and the Federal Reserve
The #SP500 bear market has been dragging on for over a year now (assuming the bottom is not in). The continued hawkish stance by the #Fed puts downward pressure on risk assets in general. In this video we take a…
S&P 500: Yearly Close | 2023 Outlook
We have finally ushered in the yearly close for the #SP500. Now that it is in, let’s talk about where #stocks stand and the outlook for 2023. With an inverted yield curve, a recession seems like the base case to…
S&P 500: Accounting For the Money Supply
Accounting for the money supply, M2, is a useful exercise for understanding moves in the #stock market. In this video we look at the valuation of #SPX, accounting for M2. Everything is not always as it seems… Into The Cryptoverse…